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dc.rights.licensehttp://rightsstatements.org/page/InC/1.0/?language=eses_AR
dc.contributor.authorNavajas, Joaquínes_AR
dc.contributor.authoret al.es_AR
dc.date.accessioned2024-06-18T21:26:04Z
dc.date.available2024-06-18T21:26:04Z
dc.date.issued2024-06-12
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.utdt.edu/handle/20.500.13098/12784
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1177/09567976241252138
dc.description.abstractThe aggregation of many lay judgments generates surprisingly accurate estimates. This phenomenon, called the “wisdom of crowds,” has been demonstrated in domains such as medical decision-making and financial forecasting. Previous research identified two factors driving this effect: the accuracy of individual assessments and the diversity of opinions. Most available strategies to enhance the wisdom of crowds have focused on improving individual accuracy while neglecting the potential of increasing opinion diversity. Here, we study a complementary approach to reduce collective error by promoting erroneous divergent opinions. This strategy proposes to anchor half of the crowd to a small value and the other half to a large value before eliciting and averaging all estimates. Consistent with our mathematical modeling, four experiments (N = 1,362 adults) demonstrated that this method is effective for estimation and forecasting tasks. Beyond the practical implications, these findings offer new theoretical insights into the epistemic value of collective decision-making.es_AR
dc.description.sponsorshipEl artículo se encuentra publicado en Psychological Science (e-ISSN: 1467-9280) /// Por cuestiones de Copyright no puede consultarse onlinees_Ar
dc.format.extent15 p.es_AR
dc.format.mediumapplication/pdfes_AR
dc.languageenges_AR
dc.publisherUniversidad Torcuato Di Tellaes_AR
dc.relation.ispartofPsychological Science (e-ISSN: 1467-9280)en
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccesses_AR
dc.subjectToma de Decisioneses_AR
dc.subjectDecision makinges_AR
dc.subjectComportamiento sociales_AR
dc.subjectSocial behaviores_AR
dc.subjectModelos matemáticoses_AR
dc.subjectMathematical modelses_AR
dc.titlePromoting Erroneous Divergent Opinions Increases the Wisdom of Crowdses_AR
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/articlees_AR
dc.subject.keywordWisdom of crowdses_AR
dc.subject.keywordSabiduría de las multitudeses_AR
dc.subject.keywordForecastinges_AR
dc.type.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersiones_AR


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