ListarArtículos presentados, aceptados y publicados por tema "Forecasting"
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Promoting Erroneous Divergent Opinions Increases the Wisdom of Crowds
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2024-06-12)The aggregation of many lay judgments generates surprisingly accurate estimates. This phenomenon, called the “wisdom of crowds,” has been demonstrated in domains such as medical decision-making and financial forecasting. ... -
The wisdom of extremized crowds: Promoting erroneous divergent opinions increases collective accuracy
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2023)The aggregation of many lay judgements can generate surprisingly accurate estimates. This effect, known as the “wisdom of the crowd”, has been demonstrated in domains such as medical decision-making, factchecking news, ...