• A new test for the success of inflation targeting 

      Powell, Andrew; Cohen Sabbán, Verónica; González-Rozada, Martín (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      We propose a new test, derived from a set of variance decompositions of a structural VAR, for the success of inflation targeting. In contrast to standard sacrifice ratios this test considers changes in the structure of ...
    • Aftermaths of current account crisis: export growth or import contraction? 

      Sturzenegger, Federico; Guidotti, Pablo; Villar, Agustín (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      This paper defines current account crises as current account adjustments that occur in the aftermath of a sizable reduction in capital flows. We study the characteristics of such current account adjustments, particularly ...
    • Banking on foreigners: the behaviour of International Bank Lending to Latin America, 1985-2000 

      Powell, Andrew; Martínez Peria, María Soledad; Vladkova, Ivanna (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      Rising international bank financing to developing countries has motivated a debate on the behavior of these claims. We analyze claims from seven home (lender) countries on ten host (borrower) countries in Latin America. ...
    • Business cycle and macroeconomic policy coordination in MERCOSUR 

      González-Rozada, Martín; Fanelli, José (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      The paper analyzes cyclical comovements in the Mercosur area differentiating idiosyncratic from common shocks. In the Mercosur (or any region for that matter) shocks can be country-specific, affecting only one country or ...
    • Capital inflows and capital outflows: measurement, determinants, consequences 

      Powell, Andrew; Mohapatra, Sanket; Ratha, Dilip (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      This paper develops new estimates of capital outflows and is the first, to our knowledge, to analyze the determinants, consequences and inter-relationship between inflows and outflows. Given the dynamics and individual ...
    • Classifying exchange rate regimes: deeds vs. words 

      Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Sturzenegger, Federico (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      Most of the empirical literature on exchange rate regimes uses the IMF de jure classification based on the regime announced by the governments, despite the recognized inconsistencies between reported and actual policies ...
    • Concentration and foreign penetration in Latin American banking sectors: impact on competition and risk 

      Levy Yeyati, Eduardo (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      In recent years, Latin American banking sectors have experienced an accelerated process of concentration and foreign penetration that has prompted diverse views regarding its implications for the competitive behavior of ...
    • Default's in the 1990's: what have we learned? 

      Sturzenegger, Federico; Chuham, Punan (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      The principal focus of this chapter is on sovereign defaults on external debt in the 1990s and the lessons that have been learned. The rest of the chapter is organized as follows. Section II explains the meaning of debt ...
    • Defaults in the 90's: Factbook and preliminary lessons 

      Sturzenegger, Federico (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      Since the Tequila crisis in 1994, and particularly after the succession of crises in Asia and the default episode in Russia, questions related to international sovereign bond restructuring have been increasingly at the ...
    • Endogenous deposit dollarization 

      Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Broda, Cristian (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003-02)
      This paper explores sources of deposit dollarization unrelated to standard moral hazard arguments. We develop a model in which banks choose the optimal currency composition of their liabilities. We argue that the equal ...
    • Financial globalization: unequal blessings 

      Torre, Augusto de la; Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Schmukler, Sergio L. (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      This paper presents a framework to analyze financial globalization. It argues that financial globalization needs to take into account the relation between money (particularly in its role as store of value), asset and factor ...
    • Finantial dollarization and debt deflation under a currency board 

      Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Galiani, Sebastián; Schargrodsky, Ernesto Santiago (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      In the late currency board years, Argentina faced a real exchange rate adjustment through price deflation amidst growing devaluation expectations. Using a firm-level panel database to analyze the incidence of these factors ...
    • Flexible exchange rates as shock absorbers 

      Edwards, Sebastián; Levy Yeyati, Eduardo (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003-07)
      In this paper we analyze empirically the effect of terms of trade shocks on economic performance under alternative exchange rate regimes. We are particularly interested in investigating whether terms of trade disturbances ...
    • Inference and estimation in small sample dynamic panel data models 

      Galiani, Sebastián; González-Rozada, Martín (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002-12-27)
      We study the finite sample properties of the most important methods of estimation of dynamic panel data models in a special class of small samples: a two-sided small sample (i.e., a sample in which the time dimension is ...
    • Liquidity protection versus Moral Hazard: the role of the IMF 

      Powell, Andrew; Arozamena, Leandro (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      This paper develops a simple game between the IMF a county and a set of atomistic private investors. The model is motivated by the case of Argentina. Under reasonable assumptions, the one shot game has no Nash equilibrium ...
    • Living and dying with hard pegs: the rise and fall of Argentina's currency board 

      Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Schmukler, Sergio; Torre, Augusto de la (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
      The rise and fall of Argentina’s currency board illustrates the extent to which the advantages of hard pegs have been overstated. The currency board did provide nominal stability and boosted financial intermediation, at ...
    • Macroeconomic coordination and monetary unions in a N-country world: Do all roads lead to Rome? 

      Powell, Andrew; Sturzenegger, Federico (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      In Europe, twelve countries have joined a currency union but four have stayed out. The EU enlargement process implies a large set of potential EMU entrants. In Latin America, two countries have recently dollarized and ...
    • On the endogeneity of exchange rate regimes 

      Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Sturzenegger, Federico; Regio, Iliana (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      The literature has identified at least five approaches to the determinants of the choice of exchange rate regimes: i) optimal currency area theory; ii) exchange rate policy and the absortion of real and nominal shocks; ...
    • Por qué crecen menos los regímenes de tipo de cambio fijo? El efecto de los Sudden Stops 

      Stuzenegger, Federico (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2003)
    • Reforming capital requirements in emerging countries 

      Powell, Andrew; Balzarotti, Verónica; Castro, Christian (Universidad Torcuato Di Tella. Escuela de Negocios. Centro de Investigaciones en Finanzas (CIF), 2002)
      This paper then attempts to show how a PCR, in this case from Argentina, can help to set capital and provisioning rules. In order to so this, we employ an econometric credit scoring model on the PCR data - an ordered probit ...