Listar Artículos y otros documentos de investigación por fecha de publicación
Mostrando ítems 1-15 de 15
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Markov-Switching Models with State-Dependent Time-Varying Transition Probabilities
(2017)This paper proposes a model which allows for discrete stochastic breaks in the timevarying transition probabilities of Markov-switching models with autoregressive dynamics. An extensive simulation study is undertaken to ... -
The welfare effects of unemployment insurance in Argentina. New estimates using changes in the schedule of transfers
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2022)Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers ... -
Optimal Cooperative Taxation in the Global Economy
(The University of Chicago Press, 2023)How should countries cooperate in setting fiscal and trade policies when government expenditures must be financed with distorting taxes? We show that even if countries cannot make explicit transfers to each other, every ... -
Variable elimination, graph reduction and the efficient g-formula
(BiometrikaOxford University Press, 2023)We study efficient estimation of an interventional mean associated with a point exposure treatment under a causal graphical model represented by a directed acyclic graph without hidden variables. Under such a model, a ... -
External Shocks versus Domestic Policies in Emerging Markets
(Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis, 2023)Debt crises in emerging markets have been linked to large fiscal deficits, high inflation rates, and large devaluations. This article studies a sovereign default model with domestic fiscal and monetary policies to understand ... -
El impacto de los programas de crédito para la reactivación del tejido productivo y el empleo tras la pandemia: el caso de Argentina
(Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, 2023)This technical paper seeks to narrow the knowledge gap concerning the impacts of financing and provision of credit to accelerate recovery and adjustments in the wake of a crisis. Due to the lack of data in developing ... -
Default and interest rate shocks: Renegotiation matters
(Universidad Torcuato Di TellaRutgers University, Department of EconomicsUniversity of Minnesota, 2023)We develop a sovereign default model with endogenous re-entry to financial markets via debt renegotiation. We use this model to evaluate how shocks to risk-free interest rates trigger default episodes through two channels: ... -
Prevalence of Daily Smoking and Initiation in Latin America
(Health Policy Center, Institute for Health Research and Policy, University of Illinois Chicago, 2023)There is abundant evidence documenting the negative consequences of smoking. Over the last decades, public smoking bans, taxation, and public health tobacco control campaigns induced a decline in smoking prevalence ... -
Do trade agreements contribute to the decline in labor share? Evidence from Latin American countries
(World Development (ISSN 1873-5991), 2024)In this paper, we explore the role of trade in the evolution of labor share in Latin American countries (LAC). We use trade agreements with large economies (US, EU, and China) to capture the effect of sharp changes in ... -
Estimating the Welfare Costs of Very High Inflations and Hyperinflations
(Universität Bern, 2024)We explore the welfare costs of inflation originating from lack of liquidity satiation for Weimar Republic’s hyperinflation and three high-inflation countries. Towards the peak of Weimar’s hyperinflation the costs are ... -
Inequality and technological change
(Quantitative Economics (e-ISSN: 1759-7331), 2024)We study howtechnological change affects between- and within-education-group inequality in the United States. We develop a model with heterogeneous workers and firms in which the demand for skills is characterized by ... -
On the Robustness of Mixture Models in the Presence of Hidden Markov Regimes with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2024-06)We consider general hidden Markov models that may include exogenous co- variates and whose discrete-state-space regime sequence has transition prob- abilities that are functions of observable variables. We show that the ... -
On the sources of the aggregate risk premium: Risk aversion, bubbles or regime-switching?
(Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (e-ISSN: 1879-1743), 2024-07)We develop and estimate a consumption-based asset pricing model that uses historical US financial data and assumes recursive utility, allowing for priced regime-switching risk and intrinsic bubbles. We also estimate ... -
Investigating symptom duration using current status data: a case study of post-acute COVID-19 syndrome
(Arxiv, 2024-07-05)For infectious diseases, characterizing symptom duration is of clinical and public health importance. Symptom duration may be assessed by surveying infected individuals and querying symptom status at the time of survey ... -
Corruption and Renegotiation in Procurement
(RedNIE Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía, 2024-08)A sponsor –e.g. a government agency– uses a procurement auction to select a supplier who will be in charge of the execution of a contract. That contract is incomplete: it may be renegotiated once the auction’s winner has ...