Listar Artículos y otros documentos de investigación por título
Mostrando ítems 8-14 de 14
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Markov-Switching Models with State-Dependent Time-Varying Transition Probabilities
(2017)This paper proposes a model which allows for discrete stochastic breaks in the timevarying transition probabilities of Markov-switching models with autoregressive dynamics. An extensive simulation study is undertaken to ... -
On the Robustness of Mixture Models in the Presence of Hidden Markov Regimes with Covariate-Dependent Transition Probabilities
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2024-06)We consider general hidden Markov models that may include exogenous co- variates and whose discrete-state-space regime sequence has transition prob- abilities that are functions of observable variables. We show that the ... -
On the sources of the aggregate risk premium: Risk aversion, bubbles or regime-switching?
(Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (e-ISSN: 1879-1743), 2024-07)We develop and estimate a consumption-based asset pricing model that uses historical US financial data and assumes recursive utility, allowing for priced regime-switching risk and intrinsic bubbles. We also estimate ... -
Optimal Cooperative Taxation in the Global Economy
(The University of Chicago Press, 2023)How should countries cooperate in setting fiscal and trade policies when government expenditures must be financed with distorting taxes? We show that even if countries cannot make explicit transfers to each other, every ... -
Prevalence of Daily Smoking and Initiation in Latin America
(Health Policy Center, Institute for Health Research and Policy, University of Illinois Chicago, 2023)There is abundant evidence documenting the negative consequences of smoking. Over the last decades, public smoking bans, taxation, and public health tobacco control campaigns induced a decline in smoking prevalence ... -
The welfare effects of unemployment insurance in Argentina. New estimates using changes in the schedule of transfers
(Universidad Torcuato Di Tella, 2022)Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers ... -
Variable elimination, graph reduction and the efficient g-formula
(BiometrikaOxford University Press, 2023)We study efficient estimation of an interventional mean associated with a point exposure treatment under a causal graphical model represented by a directed acyclic graph without hidden variables. Under such a model, a ...